Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Analysis: Sale of Balance Flats Oct 2009
Monday, September 28, 2009
Caribbean at Keppel Bay: Analysis of Qtr3
- You can see the slow and steady psf increases. Average went from $1191psf -> $1287psf ->$1341psf. That is a 12.5% increase in 3 months. If you had bought a 3 bedder of 1313sqft at say $1200psf and sold it for $1320psf in Sept, that would have given you a profit of $157,560. That equals to 50% return if you had placed a 20% deposit of $315,120 in 3 months.
- So is there any good buy during these crazy months? Yes, I think so if you look very very very hard and act equally fast! In Sept, there are caveats for $1150psf for 1119sqft.
- In terms of volume, it is obvious Aug is the busiest. We should see more caveats in Sept but unlikely to top Aug sales. So is prices reaching a resistance?
- Keppel has also decided to cash in and sell few units they had used as service apartments. Some units have tenancy and furniture. If you are a bull, you would think "what the heck? Just buy one. Quick!:" If you are a bear, you would think "Wait a minute, even developers are cashing out. Why they selling now after holding it through the 2007 peak? Something is wrong. Don't buy now!". If you are in the middle, you would still be thinking and thinking....
Sunday, July 19, 2009
Silversea pulling prices up in Amber Road.
One of Singapore’s leading property developers, Far East Organization, announced the launch of Silversea, its 383-unit mid-upper range condominium on Amber Road (on the former Amberville HUDC apartment site) at prices starting from $1,300 psf, with sea-facing units at $1,600 psf. The launch of Silversea is likely to bring the spotlight back on the Amber Road and Marine Parade neighbourhood, and stir renewed interest and activity among potential home owners and investors. The neighbourhood has undergone tremendous renewal in recent years through a series of en bloc acquisitions by developers.
Three new massive freehold condominiums with a total of 1,500 units have already sprung up in the area — The Sea View, with 546-units, is developed by Wheelock Properties and completed early last year; the 400- unit The Esta, developed by MCL Land, obtained Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP) late last year; and up next is the 562-unit One Amber at Amber Gardens, which is expected to achieve TOP in 1Q2010. One Amber is jointly developed by UIC, UOL Group and Singapore Land.
If the units at Silversea, as well as the neighbouring 612-unit Cote d’Azur, a 99- year leasehold condominium (completed in 2005), were to be included, the stretch of Marine Parade and Amber Road/Amber Gardens alone has a total of 2,500 new condominium units.
The figure doesn’t even include the smallish new condominium projects by niche developers, like Voda Land’s 114-unit Amber Residences , where the first phase of over 70 units was sold at an average price of $1,650 psf at a private preview in December 2007. As at May, over 92 units had been sold. The most recent transaction was for a 1,163 sq ft apartment on the ninth floor that changed hands in a sub-sale at $1.36 million or $1,170 psf last month. The other boutique development is Ho Bee Group’s 42-unit Vertis, which is fully sold and will be completed this year.
Based on caveats lodged in the week of June 12 to 19, prices achieved in the secondary market for units at One Amber appear to be back to levels seen last year. Of all the new developments in the Amber Road neighbourhood, One Amber was the most active last month, with half a dozen units changing hands in the sub-sale market at prices ranging from $850 to $1,038 psf.
For instance, an apartment on the 13th floor of one of the four 23-storey tower blocks has changed hands twice. The 958 sq ft apartment was sold in a sub-sale at $1,038 psf in June. Before that, the property changed hands for $958,000 or $1,000 psf in July last year. The original owner purchased the property for $760,000 or $793 psf when it was launched in 2006.
Meanwhile, an 11th floor apartment with a floor area of 1,313 sq ft in the same block was sold for $1.25 million or $950 psf. The last time the unit changed hands in a sub-sale was in May 2007, when it was sold for $1.18 million or $899 psf.
Next door to One Amber is The Esta, where the most recent transaction was for a 3,477 sq ft unit on the 21st floor — it was sold in a sub-sale for $960 psf or $3.34 million, according to a caveat with a contract date of June 15. The previous owner bought the unit for $638 psf or $2.22 million in 2006.
Across the street from The Sea View, and next door to Silversea is Cote D’Azur. A 1,152 sq ft unit on the 17th floor in the latter changed hands in the resale market for $1.07 million or $930 psf, according to the latest caveat lodged with a contract dated June 12. The unit last changed hands in the resale market in June 2007 at $901 psf or $1.04 million.
Source : The Edge – 13 Jul 2009
Friday, July 17, 2009
What can I buy with $1m?
Analysing the caveats <= $1million lodged from April to June 2009 for private apt/ condo in district 1, 9, 10, 11 and 15, there are 620 transactions. Out of these caveats:
- the lowest PSF is $253 for an unknown project at East Coast Road. The size was 2329sqft and was sold for $590,000.
- the highest PSF is $1724psf for ILLUMINAIRE ON DEVONSHIRE at Devonshire Road. It was for a tiny 463sqft unit and was sold for $798,000. This is a newly launched project. The highest PSF for a TOPed project is at Nomu on Handy Road. The size was 601sqft and was sold for $980,000.
- the lowest PSF is $559 for an unknown project at Joo Chiat Lane. The size was 1001sqft and was sold for $560,000.
- the highest PSF is $1100 for Valley Park at RIVER VALLEY ROAD. The size was 861sqft and was sold for $947,000.
- the most popular project is VERSILIA ON HAIG. Also there is no project in D01. You will also notice that these caveats are very distributed across most projects, thus re-emphasising the reality that it is very difficult for buyers in this category to find the project they prefer.
- So where WERE (not ARE) the gems as the asking prices are very likely to have risen now? I like One Amber (FH, D15), Tanglin Regency (99, D10), AMARYLLIS VILLE (99, D11), MEYER RESIDENCE (99, D15 and just TOP) and Spring Grove (99, D09).
Sunday, July 5, 2009
Analysis: Balmoral area
What has happened
- en-bloc fever hit this area with few plots taken up. My last count was 6 plots but I couldnt find the deal size for Garden Hotel.
- Sui Generis sitting on the old Balmoral View site was launched in 2007. Units were sold from $1991 to a whopping $2717 psf!
- The Aspine holds the record eb-bloc in this area at $1870 psf!! Envy, envy, envy...
- CDL is launching Volari at the old Garden Hotel site at approximately $2000 psf for the 2 bedder. CDL launched The Solitaire in 2007 and deals were done from $1570 to $2342 psf. The smaller units of 1238 sqft were done in the range of $1800 upwards, thus my believe that developers will not price their nearby projects at lower prices even though we are in recession now. Another of my developer-wont-screw-their-own-projects theory.
- The Oliv by TG Development beside Belmond Green has been fenced up for some time and the condo has been demolished. Perhaps they might be launching soon.
Monday, June 29, 2009
Analysis: Caribbean at Keppel Bay
Address: 4 - 46 KEPPEL BAY DRIVE
Type: APARTMENT / CONDO
District: 04
Year Completed: 2004
Tenure: 99 Years Leasehold wef 16 Aug 1999
Total Units: 969
Developer: KEPPEL BAY PTE LTD


Specs
- Living room: Marble
- Bed room: Timber skirting
- Kitchen: Ceramic Tiles
- External wall: Spray textured coating finish and/or emulsion paint
Audio/video intercom via webpad, Web camera, WAP enabled, WLAN, Proximity locking system, Safe, Kitchen cabinet, Wardrobe, Aircon - Total Units: 969 in 22 blocks
- 2 Rooms (208 units): 78 to 86 sq.m. (840 to 926 sq.ft.)
- 2 Rooms +PES (28 units): 100 to 118 sq.m. (1076 to 1270 sq.ft.)
- 2 Rooms +PES+Study (19 units): 136 to 146 sq.m. (1464 to 1572 sq.ft.)
- 3 Rooms (302 units): 112 to 122 sq.m. (1206 to 1313 sq.ft.)
- 3 Rooms +Open Terrace (13 units): 116 to 126 sq.m. (1249 to 1356 sq.ft.)
- 3 Rooms +PES (43 units): 124 to 170 sq.m. (1335 to 1830 sq.ft.)
- 3 Rooms +Study (197 units): 123 to 157 sq.m. (1324 to 1690 sq.ft.)
- 3 Rooms +PES+Study (8 units): 141 to 212 sq.m. (1518 to 2282 sq.ft.)

- waterfront living, with yacht berths. How many are there in SGP? Keppel Bay area and Sentosa only. Don't tell me about East Coast as they are NOT waterfront. Tanjong Rhu area comes close and its part of the Kallang Riverside initiative.
- Caribbean, Reflections and the 2 99LH plots owned by Keppel beside Caribbean and Keppel Island, including the Keppel club. Keppel has not launched plot 3,4 and 6 which should have 307, 234 and 94 units,while they will launch 382 units at Reflections but dont know when. These statistics are from http://www.kepcorp.com/kcl_eAR/2006/features/keppelbay.asp
- Do you think Keppel will screw themselves up and launch these new plots to disadvantage Caribbean and Reflections? Reflections already sold from range of 13xx to >2000 psf.
- nearest development to Sentosa IR that's outside Sentosa
- Only luxurious development till 2012 when Reflections TOP
- beside Vivo City
- near MRT
- huge project. Typically, huge projects are popular and maintenance fees are lower. Though 969 is a tad too large for me.
- good rental yield during recession. Q1 2009 rental data from URA shows that the 25th, Median and 75th Percentile are 4.98, 5.44, 6.03 respectively. On a conservative front, the 25th percentile was only lower than the top projects of THE PIER AT ROBERTSON and ICON.
- But I dont like this. Its 99 tenure starts from 1999!!
- Latest transactions in 2009: from 900-1000 in Q1 and 1100-1300 in Q2!
- Peak (all): 1757 for a 2077 sqft in June 2008
- Low (all): 600 during launch
- Median (all): 850-860
- 2007 Q1 (all): 800-1300
- 2/3 bedder peak: 1607
- 2/3 bedder low: 600
- 2/3 bedder median: 850
- 2007 Q1 (2/3 bedder): 900-1100
- 2 bedder peak: 1607
- 2 bedder low: 750
- 2 bedder median: 870
- 2007 Q1 (2 bedder): 890-1100
Why 2/3 bedder? Because these are likely the most popular sizes.
Exciting, exciting, exciting!! Or is it?